Popular Press Coverage

• Why are people so confident? (Nov 2025) — Veritasium
• Deciding to doubt yourself (Feb 2025) — Decidedly Podcast
• Confidence calibration in a multi-year geopolitical forecasting competition (Jan 2025) — Faculti.net
• The Truth About Polling (28 October 2024) — The Atlantic
• Why economic forecasts are so often wrong (23 September 2024) — BerkeleyHaas Newsroom
• Caution with polls (25 September 2024) — Le Devoir
• WAR is not the answer (16 September 2024) — The Athletic
• Sadder but wiser? Maybe not (17 October 2022) — New York Times
• Accounting's big lie — and how to fix it (6 October 2022) — Project on Government Oversight
• Behavioral Science Authors Series (31 May 2022) — Behavior Change For Good
• Decision Leadership: Empowering Others to Make Better Choices (20 April 2022)
• UnSILOed Podcast: Perfectly Confident and Good Judgment: Your Keys to Succeeding in Life (4 June 2021)
• 7 Books to Inspire New Grads to Make a Dent in the Universe (3 June 2021)
• Perfectly Confident Leadership (21 May 2021) — California Management Review
• Perfectly Confident: How to Calibrate Your Decisions Wisely (28 December 2020)
• Make Better Decisions by Calibrating Your Level of Confidence (30 November 2020)
• Thinking Probabilistically about Covid Risk (18 November 2020) — SF Chronicle
• Polls are overconfident, just like people (12 November 2020) — Quartz
• 'Margin of error' gets new scrutiny (23 November 2020) — Undark
• Confidence: How it can help us (24 August 2020) — The Why Factor, BBC
• Be confident — but not too confident (16 August 2020)
• Persuasion Tactics of the Internet (2 August 2020) — The Atlantic
• How to be Perfectly Confident (July 2020) — Here @ Haas podcast
• Overconfidence Is Overrated (30 July 2020) — Psychology Today
• Are you thinking about confidence wrong? (June 2020) — The Jordan Harbinger Show
• How to Remedy 'Better-than-Average' Effects (29 June 2020) — Behavioral Scientist
• Perfect Confidence (18 June 2020) — Science of Success Podcast
• Make Better Decisions (13 June 2020) — People & Projects Podcast
• How to be perfectly confident (25 May 2020) — Curious Minds at Work Podcast
• Perfectly Confident Book Launch (26 May 2020)
• Is it safe to go out? (24 May 2020) — CharacterLAB
• How self-confidence really works (18 May 2020) — Something You Should Know Podcast
• Check Yourself (29 April 2020) — Psychology Today
• 5 tips for calibrating your confidence (5 May 2020) — BerkeleyHaas Newsroom
• Overprecision is a property of thinking systems (1 May 2020) — Data Colada
• I interview Katy Milkman (November 2020) — Haas School of Business
• I interview Angela Duckworth (6 August 2020) — Haas School of Business
• I interview Annie Duke (9 July 2020) — Haas School of Business
• The weird psychological effect of a no-deal Brexit deadline (7 July 2020) — Wired
• Overconfidence in Covid-19 (26 March 2020) — LA Times
• 20 books that all leaders should read in 2020 (8 January 2020) — World Economic Forum
• The secret ingredient for small business success (18 February 2020) — Forbes
• The Endless, Invisible Persuasion Tactics of the Internet (2 August 2019) — The Atlantic
• Confidence (5 June 2019) — The Why Factor, BBC
• PhD seminar in Open Science (22 April 2019) — Haas Newsroom
• The crusade for open access (22 October 2018) — Berkeley Library News
• Doctors like to think Big Pharma doesn't sway them. It does. (4 October 2018) — Bloomberg
• How to spot a narcissist (30 July 2018) — BBC Business Daily
• Six ways to be a more confident leader — without being cocky (25 April 2018) — Conscious Company
• ArXiv preprint service (14 February 2018) — Collabra
• It's hard to be humble (12 February 2018) — Choiceology podcast
• Traditional interviews don't work (9 November 2017) — California Management Review
• Three ways overconfidence can sink your ship (15 August 2017) — Forbes
• Interview with Greg LaBlanc: Personnel selection (19 July 2017) — Berkeley Haas
• Donald Trump is a terrible negotiator (26 April 2017) — Slate
• Horns, Haloes, and Heroism (Spring 2017) — California alumni magazine
• The era of overconfident CEOs is waning (7 March 2017) — Wall Street Journal
• Donald Trump and the Irresistibility of Overconfidence (17 February 2017) — Forbes
• When trusting your gut can get you into trouble (12 December 2016) — BetterUp
• Optimism, confidence, and election turnout (4 December 2016) — The Guardian
• Overconfidence (18 September 2016) — Rationally Speaking podcast
• The Fed feigns certainty about monetary policy (31 August 2016) — Bloomberg
• Trump Says He's a Great Negotiator, but the Evidence Says Otherwise (19 July 2016) — Fortune
• The kryptonite of smart decisions? Overconfidence (8 March 2016) — Association for Psychological Science
• Everybody Loves a Winner. So What Happens if Trump Loses? (14 January 2016) — New York Times
• Why have negotiation deadlines anyway? (7 July 2015) — The Atlantic
• Uber-Confidence (1 June 2015) — Psychology Today
• Outside Auditors Get Asked In (11 May 2015) — Wall Street Journal
• Researchers Have Found a Really Good Reason Not to be an Optimist (6 May 2015) — Washington Post
• Smart Leaders are OK with Seeming Uncertain (10 February 2015) — Harvard Business Review
• How to Win at Raising Money: Warn that You're About to Lose (6 October 2014) — New York Times
• The Psychological Phenomenon that Skews College Admissions and Hiring (1 August 2013) — Quartz
• M.B.A. Admission Tip: Always Go for an Easy 'A' (31 July 2014) — Wall Street Journal
• Questionable Admissions (30 July 2013) — Inside Higher Ed
• Overconfidence Can Give You a Competitive Edge at Work (22 May 2014) — BigThink
• Admissions Officers Prone to Select Students with Inflated Grades (31 July 2013) — The Daily Californian
• Grade Inflation Works — in Schools and in the Workforce (25 July 2013) — LA Times
• Are You Hiring the Wrong Person? (25 July 2013) — Haas Newsroom
• Why Unqualified Candidates Get Hired Anyway (25 July 2013) — HBS Working Knowledge
• The Dark Side of Confidence (22 May 2013) — Forbes
• Today's Faculty: Stressed, Focused on Teaching, and Undeterred by Long Odds (24 October 2012) — Chronicle of Higher Education
• One Cure for Accounting Shenanigans (14 January 2012) — Wall Street Journal
• Promoting: Look Beyond Results (24 October 2011) — Wall Street Journal
• What CEOs Need to Know About Hardball Negotiating (11 October 2011) — Chief Executive
• Negotiation as Theatre of the Absurd (1 August 2011) — Financial Times